Twilight New Moon Zone! As I walk into my garage where I can pop the 8-track into my quadraphonic stereo and mellow out to the Mamas and Papas, I say to myself, "I love the digital age."
No, wait.
Skip forward to the cassette then to the CD towards the MP3 player, or perhaps from the VHS towards the DVD on the digital download. Thanks to leaps in technology, plus no small part for the Internet, we could now download movies or watch them streaming coming from a site online. While the music counterpart was quick to ban against MP3 technology, and after that eventually allow it to go in, the Hollywood system continues to be cautious, nay leery, of digital technology.
Why this is no one can say without a doubt. Part of it will be the fight involving the RIAA and peer-to-peer sites over copyright infringement, which includes led towards the creation of bit torrent sites for downloading. Part of it might be that downloading hurts any current contracts with DVD distribution companies. And part of it may be mankind's caution with technology. No one of these reasons is greater than the others.
With the proliferation with the peer-to-peer and bit torrent sites, Hollywood was greater than compelled to start offering movies for downloading. Sites including CinemaNow, Movielink, and Vongo have sprouted offering users approximately 4,000 video/movie titles along with hundreds of TV show episodes. iTunes in addition has joined industry, extending their interests from just music to TV, movies, and music videos.
Back for the question: will digital downloading kill DVD/Blu-ray discs?
"Yes" because:
- Society is now "instant gratification," sufficient reason for faster Internet ability and films being able to be compressed on the size of 1gb, they're going to become simpler to download. And when someone's finished with the movie with no longer really wants to keep it on their harddrive, they can just delete it.
- Downloading will eliminating the "need" for packaging. Like the example above, there won't be any need to cope with scratched discs or misplaced ones, or creating shelf space to deal with your collection when you can maintain it on a pc.
- Downloading will squeeze current video retailers (Blockbuster, Movie Gallery, Hollywood Video) bankrupt by offering "what's new" to users online as an alternative to making users wait in line with a checkout or brave "weather elements" as they stand outside a youtube video cube.
"No" because:
- Currently, we don't have the electronic infrastructure because of it. This means that if EVERY person inside U.S. logged on download a film, the Internet would HALT. While that is a worst-case scenario, it brings forth the point that in order to offer more movies to more people, networks need to be changed/ rearranged, and we aren't currently since happening.
- It would be nearly impossible (at least from your current standpoint) to offer the over 21,000 films which were made online. Each week several movies can be found on disc, with only a fraction available online. We would first have to give everything current before tackling the insurmountable-looking back catalog.
- Believe it or not, some people want the ability to hold a video in their hands, packaging and all. They don't care about shelf space or depreciating value; it's the ability to look because of it (like a book) and pop it into the DVD player whenever they want, instead of having to traverse a computer that they can don't like having.
- There is no clear platform for downloaded movies. Some with the services use a browser, while others use the application developed by the company.
- Digital rights management. The above mentioned download sites have their "special" methods for displaying the movie you downloaded. Eventually, movie downloading and watching should go cross-platform, meaning the above companies must agree on one format to use in order to show the films. That will also make movies "easier" to pirate and transport.
- With all the viruses playing around, in addition to "inclement weather," what are the results when your computer DIES? The motherboard fries, the harddrive locks up, etc. If your collection isn't burned onto disc, you enter trouble...
In closing, my belief is digital downloading, though it may be an interesting addition to movie watching, includes a ways to go before it will get for the point it has to be. That along with the idea that computers aren't 100% reliable, I do not believe that video discs are leaving everything soon.
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